Signal.Intelligence · Historical Validation Framework
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Signal Intelligence historical validation: 6 cases (SpaceX, NVIDIA, OpenAI, Bitcoin, Shopify, Tesla) showing earliest detectable signals, CIA progression, opportunity scores, and lead times before mainstream recognition

Signal Intelligence — Historical Validation Framework

6 cases replayed through production architecture · exact weights from config.yaml · validation, not prediction

cases

6

replayed

signals

28

27 passed threshold

outcomes

33

all recorded

behaviours

30

patterns fired

avg lead time

8.3y

before mainstream

threshold

0.35

1 miss only

👆 Click each tab to explore the signal history — SpaceX, NVIDIA, OpenAI, Bitcoin, Shopify, Tesla 6 validated cases · 8.3yr avg lead time · Full signal timelines
Cross-case summary
SpaceX
NVIDIA
OpenAI
Bitcoin
Shopify
Tesla

lead time before mainstream recognition

peak opportunity score by case

detector primacy across all cases

behaviour pattern frequency across all 6 cases

architecture findings